Venezuela's Outlook

The United States made another mark in the history books. On January 3rd 2026, United States Delta Force one entered into Venezuela, stormed the high security fort Maduro was staying, and captured him and his wife to bring in for trail. Many have been quick to point out the citizen’s gratitude for this as Maduro was a dictator and his regime was a known threat to the country’s chances at democracy.

Venezuela has been the apple of many global power’s eye for some time now. Russia has had involvement in Venezuela, particularly in the 90s when Venezuela lost most of their oil investment to non-oil, Russian driven purposes. It has also been reported that China and India has been buying discounted oil from the petro state for decades via sanctions, all while the United States, right across the sea and gulf gets little in broad comparison. When the helicopters flew into Venezuela and weaponry started firing, the United States made their regime clear, full control over western oil.

The states need energy abundance for the AI race and clean energy transition. The U.S can rely on Canadian oil sands to produce around three and a half million barrels of oil a day around peace river, cold river, and fort mcmurray. With two extremely abundant oil sources coming from the north and south, this without a doubt made government ecstatic. The obvious prediction is the government will pass laws to leverage this connection and control over the two countries, combined with the newest tech to increase AI and climate change needs. Control over the western hemisphere, especially with the 2nd most reserves for the U.S coming from Mexico (maya crude), will be vivid in the background over this occupation.

The Department Of Energy has explicitly stated that the SPR (Strategic Petroleum Reserve) needs key changes realized and investments made. We understand that the United States wants to help the Venezuelan government bring their monopoly bound industry back to life but only with strategic economic control. There could be major advancements made to the SPR through tight allocation, though this is a hypothetical the reality seems to be heading towards this. Through sanctions relief the overall price of a barrel of oil from Venezuela could start displaying a more market reflected price, making sales to places like China (who has been benefiting from discounted oil over past decades) harder to come by, an indirect tariff if you will.

The people of Venezuela are caught between relief from abusive power and a waste of huge reserves of liquid gold because of it. So many people outside the world sees Venezuela though and wonders, will this country be truly independent from American power? Intentions of the White House are great and clear but history shows that major abundant resources are always met with conflict and greed. The opportunities are obvious and we see great pockets for efficient technology that will really put the emphasis on this partnership.

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